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Although traditionally seen as dealing with insurance and pension schemes, more and more businesses are now turning to actuaries to help prepare for every eventuality. Specifically, GVT find that players who believe in the hot hand are unable to detect it or any other exploitable pattern in shooting performance. Upon obtaining the raw data and performing a more powered analysis, in contrast with the original results, we find that experts are successful at predicting shot outcomes, and that the effect sizes are considerable. May the odds be forever in your favour… Will I need a degree? You feel out of your depth in Ikea. A cautious approach to your work may also help with this one Will I need a degree? However, we observe that GVT's analysis of betting data is severely underpowered, and that they misinterpret their measure of bettors' ability to predict.

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